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Rob Nelson's avatar

I think you are a few years early on this, but I expect a full-blown moral panic over birth rates in the US soon enough with attendant "Why aren't we encouraging college graduates to have babies?" arguments. The demographic trends are lined up for it, and you can hear the rumblings. Of course, immigration is the rational answer to this problem, but it will be easier to focus on why colleges are not doing more to make babies happen.

Around the time I left the University of Georgia, they changed the name of the College of Home Economics to the College of Family and Consumer Sciences. I expect it and similar programs to benefit from what's coming.

The perverse incentives of metrics for this one case should be fairly easy to fix once the panic gets underway. Can we fix the underlying econometric model that insists the only way to value a college education is a graduate's income right out of college? I'm afraid that one may not go away. It is just too easy to count and too aligned with how college has been sold.

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Thomas L. Hutcheson's avatar

I'm not sure how important that is but it woud be easy enough to fix by adding "receiving a child allowance" to the criteria and, of course, having a child allowance.

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